Scary! We're down to 30 years of Artic ice (based on new computer models)

So much for science

Here's another scare headline: Ice-free Artic Ocean Possible In 30 Years, Not 90 As Previously Estimated

But you have to dig. It's not until the fourth paragraph that the article tells you that the new estimates are based on the six available models most suited for estimating sea ice.

Nothing about carbon dioxide levels, global temperatures, solar radiation, or a host of other factors.

The fact is we don't know if there is a climate change trend or not. It depends on how you measure.

Remember that it's only been possible to do fairly accurate wide-scale weather observations in the last century or so.

If there is a climate change, we don't know if it's part of a natural cycle.

We don't know how much (if anything) human action has to do with the change that may (or may not) have occured.

This entire article is based on someone changing the computer models they used to make the predictions.

It's literally like someone switching from Excel to OpenOffice.

The assumptions may or may not be flawed, we don't have enough information.

I can open a spreadsheet and show that I have more annual income than Oprah Winfrey. That doesn't make it true.

At least Muyin Wang acknowledges that inaccurate models aren't any good. That's more than most AGW scientists do.

It still comes down to my four questions.

I have to have proof that humans are causing the problem. Otherwise we might was well blame human activity for the sunset tonight. It makes just about as much since.

— NeoWayland

Posted: Mon - April 6, 2009 at 12:57 PM  Tag

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