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NeoNotes - Analysis

Even though I'm the guy who says government should be smaller than absolutely necessary, I groove on politics.

Groove may not be strong enough a word.

I'm passionate about it. I love the analysis. I'm better at it than any amateur should be.

The last couple of days I've been analyzing both parties and their leadership.

This wasn't a Trump win as much as it was a Clinton loss. She chose him as the easiest to defeat and she pushed his nomination. Clinton underestimated Trump and he played her. Clinton was a weak candidate and she never would have won in a normal nomination.

The DNC is screwed. The most likely public leader is Obama, and I don't think he can get his message across without the power of the Presidency. I think he's going to hit Trump and bounce. Hard.

There's no Democrat leadership above the third tier who is in it for the long haul. The Clintons and Obama have seen to that. They didn't want anyone who could threaten their power.

I think the active RNC leadership will have to suck it up or get out of town. It's a lot like the Reagan Presidency. They wanted to disown him, but he kept getting things done and getting the approval ratings.

At this point I give the DNC about a 1 in 5 chance of surviving and/or resurrecting itself. They will have a very weak hand in four years.

I give the RNC slightly better odds, about 1 in 3. But just like Reagan, there's resentment there, especially if Trump can show more "wins" than losses.

Liberty on the other hand is going to take a beating.

NeoNotes are the selected comments that I made on other boards, in email, or in response to articles where I could not respond directly.
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